Post By Andrew Freiden
As of now, I'm going 60% (and climbing) chance of snow tomorrow late afternoon/evening through early Wednesday AM. I haven't gotten specific with totals yet on TV. I will at noon. A dusting to 2” seems like a best bet now—as an impressive southern track storm could clip us with some snow as it flies by to our Southeast. Sadly, this is a low confidence forecast. It could completely miss us. This has a HIGH potential to be a complete miss.
Any snow would make roads bad for Tuesday's PM Rush and Wednesday's AM rush.
And even if it’s only 1 or 2 inches, it’ll be a HIGH IMPACT snow, like last Tuesday’s was. Roads will be cold and the snow won't melt on Wednesday, with a high in the 20s.
[BTW: The snow forecast is much higher toward Virginia Beach where they might get 6" of snow plus big winds Tomorrow evening and night]
Let's check the trends on the models, in which the short term NAM has showed a steady shift toward us with snow. Here's the overnight model run showing precipitation from 7-10pm. Not much there, right?
Now, let's check the SAME model but it's run through the computers 6 hours later. Keep in mind, all the gray/green would be snow since an arctic airmass will be in place.
This recent run tags Central Virginia (Richmond) with some liquid to work with from about sunset tomorrow through sunrise Wednesday. And this has been the general trend of all the models over the past 24 hours...
After schools finally open for business, we might be closing them again soon if the trends continue. I'll have the latest on TV and streaming online at noon.