Once again, it's a difficult snow forecast. Yet another low pressure tracking near the coast means we need to watch how heavy the precip is, and what the temperatures are doing. This afternoon should stay warm enough (upper 30s) where most of us get rain mixed with sleet. We could see some wet snow flakes in the air this evening, but most of it will likely melt at first. Best chance of accumulating snow will be overnight, when temperatures drop to 31°-33°.
There is a wide range of snow totals in the forecast models once again. For now, here is what we're thinking for storm snow totals...
As long as temperatures stay in the middle or upper 30s this evening, snow will not stick to the roads in Richmond. However snow could stark to stick this evening WEST (Farmville, Fluvanna, Charlottesville). This is why we will have to monitor temperatures later today.
Just for fun - here's what several models are forecasting for snow...
The "NAM" is the most aggressive, but because most of the snow will be melting at first, this is unlikely we see that much snow. This afternoon will be more of a rain/sleet event than snow.
Don't focus on the specifics. Here are the important things you need to know:
1. Snow is likely. Although the forecasted totals may not be perfect, just know that roads will be slick/slushy tonight and tomorrow morning.
2. Snow is more likely to accumulate north and west of Richmond overnight.
3. Even if it doesn't snow in your neghborhood - temperatures could drop to 32° tomorrow morning, and there could be icy spots on roads.
Stay alert before you head out on the roads. Jim and Ros are in this evening on NBC12 at 6pm & 11pm. I (Kevin) will be in with Andrew tomorrow morning. Our first newscast in the morning is at 4am.