Sandy update: Where will she go?

Good morning,

Latest NHC track on Sandy, finally showing a turn back toward the East Coast early next week.  Still discrepancy on the computer models in a BIG Way.

Here's the latest look at the famous European Model, which forecasts a landfall on the Delmarva Peninsula on Monday.  The biggest storm surges in this scenario would be NORTH of the Chesapeake bay but may put us in for big rain and wind.  Several inches of rain are possible Sunday-Monday night with localized flooding.

One piece of good news is that winds come at us from the NW as long as the storm makes landfall North of us.  That would tend to send water OUT of the bay, instead of piling it up in the Bay.   Tropical Storm (40mph) wind gusts could cause damage as could heavy rain Sunday-Monday.

Be prepared now as the forecast calls for heavy rain and wind Sunday and Monday.  Get those ditches clear and be ready in case the power goes out!

The storm's impact could well linger through the middle of next week, with a prolonged spell of windy conditions over the region, and even snow over higher elevations of Western Va.

-Andrew