Are you going to be at the Richmond Marathon this Saturday?
If the answer is yes, it is going to be COLD.
Temperatures at 7am will be in the mid and upper 20's with a northerly breeze at 6-12mph. By 11am the winds should be light. There will be plenty of sunshine through the morning with very low humidity. Temperatures stay quite chilly through the morning nearing only 40° by 11am.
If you are going to be cheering on runners or volunteering...dress WARMLY!
It's officially November 1st and temperatures during the afternoons look quite mild.
Afternoon high temperatures for the first week of November average in the mid 60s.
These numbers are from the National Weather Service. Here's a look at forecasted temperatures the next 7 days in central VA..
Six out of the next seven days feature high temperatures in the 70's except Saturday. Beyond Tuesday of next week, it still looks like we stay above average through about the 10th of this month where temperatures look to be only a couple of degrees below average.
Updated by Meteorologist Ros Runner (11:00 PM, 10/28/2017)
Update: 10/29 10am
The 16th named tropical system of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season was classified as of the 5pm advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Here is the latest as of 8am Sunday morning:
Philippe is a minimal tropical storm and is moving very quickly to the northeast and stays offshore.
Tropical moisture associated with Philippe is expected to interact with the developing storm along the U.S. East Coast tonight into tomorrow bringing very heavy rain and powerful winds to the northeastern United States. While Virginia will see rain on the order of 0.50" to 1.5" and wind gusts topping 30 mph at times (40+ near the coast) by tonight and early tomorrow, this will not be directly related to Philippe.
Here is a look at the rainfall totals anticipated across the eastern U.S. through tomorrow. heaviest totals will be up in the northeast where Philippe's moisture will be entrained into a separate, more powerful low tracking through that region.
Posted by Jim Duncan 10pm 10/27 Updated 10/29 10am
First Alert Weather Day today for rain likely, wind tonight and falling temperatures.
We gave you the First Alert to the potential for a significant coastal system developing the past several days. A cold front, upper-level energy and tropical moisture will all come together for rapid storm development off the mid-Atlantic coast through the day today and into tonight. Virginia will be spared the most significant impacts, since the storm will become strongest when it's north of our latitude. New Jersey north to interior New England will be most vulnerable to substantial weather impacts (wind and heavy rain).
We'll see periods of rain through the afternoon and into this evening. The rain could be moderate to heavy at times. Also, don't be surprised if you hear a rumble of thunder.
Here's a look at rain likely this evening..
As low pressure really begins to crank up to our north later this afternoon and early evening, so do the winds.
Wind gusts near 30 mph will be possible at times tonight into early tomorrow morning. Wind gusts along the coast could top 40 mph at times, especially tonight into early tomorrow.
You'll also notice a quick drop in temperatures later this afternoon into the evening as a strong cold front crosses the area. Temperatures may drop 10° or more in an hours time with the frontal passage. Be prepared for these significant changes and don't forget your rain gear and a warm jacket if you're spending time outdoors!
Before all is said and done, rain totals should range from 0.50" to as much as 1.50". Heaviest totals are more likely to be seen to the north and northeast of Richmond. Rain looks to move out late tonight with a few lingering showers east of RVA possible overnight.
As always, a friendly reminder to keep the NBC12 weather app handy, and be sure to check in for the latest online at NBC12.com and on TV.
Heavy rain is making a good run at the metro area late tonight, and things should taper well before sunrise. The severe storms threat has diminished, but gusty winds can still be possible with this latest round of storms. Otherwise, things settle down weatherwise later tonight. This will probably be the final update on this particular blog post.
Here's the radar showing the heavy rain pushing across Richmond around 1:30am.
NATE has weakened significantly this morning down to 45mph sustained winds.
Here's the latest 8am advisory:
Nate is still moving quickly to the NE and will make its way towards the Tennessee Valley this morning and into the afternoon.
The track of the remnant low should take it through the mountains tonight into tomorrow and then up into New York and New England by tomorrow evening. The heaviest rain will stay in western Virginia closer to the Blue Ridge. Lighter rainfall amounts will be seen east of the mountains. Winds will pick up over western parts of the state today and tomorrow with wind gusts of 30+mph possible.
Any rain would be welcome since it's been bone-dry for more than 3 weeks here in central VA. Here's a look at what the radar COULD look like early tomorrow morning based on our short-range RPM model. The heaviest rain will stay focused north and west of Richmond. Hopefully some rain will make its way into central Virginia! The rain we receive will be more scattered and not everyone is going to see it.
We'll continue to monitor the latest tropical system closely and keep you updated frequently on-air, online at nbc12.com and through your NBC12 First Alert Weather App.
Written by Meteorologist Ros Runner (11:00 am, 10/3/2017)
Here's a look back at the month of September and the days where measureable rainfall was recorded at the Richmond International Airport (RIC):
The bulk of the rain fell on the first 2 days of the month! Here's a look at our deficit for the month and where we stand for the year so far:
While we were a little behind through the end of August, we have seen a substantial increase in our rainfall deficit courtesy of a dry September. It's becoming abnormally dry, but we are not in any immediate danger of drought conditions as long as we get some rain soon.
So when can we expect to see some rain again? Well, it looks dry through the end of the week into the start of the upcoming weekend. Beyond that, it does appear that our prospects for rain will be improving by later this weekend and early next week. The timing of the rain is still in question with the GFS (American Model) showing a more substantial rain arriving during the day Sunday:
The European Model (ECMWF) brings the chance for some scattered showers on Sunday but a more widespread opportunity for rain by Monday:
Bottom line, it looks like were going to go AT LEAST 24 DAYS IN A ROW without measureable rain in Richmond!! Hopefully day 25 will be the charm and bring us something....of course, that would coincide with the last day of the Virginia State Fair which in the past has usually been an event that seems to attract a fair share of rainy days.
We'll continue to update you on the timing of this much needed rain on-air, online at nbc12.com, and through your NBC12 First Alert Weather App. If by chance you haven't downloaded our weather app, it's FREE!
MARIA is expected to weaken back to Tropical Storm strength Thursday as it begins its acceleration away to the east and northeast across the northern Atlantic. The latest advisory from NHC:
All tropical storm warnings over eastern North Carolina and the Outer Banks have been discontinued but continue for the offshore waters. HOWEVER, rough surf and dangerous rip currents will continue for the next several days
This will be the last final blog update on Maria, as it will be moving away from the U.S. Coast.
Jose has essentially lost tropical characteristics and is now being classified as a Post-Tropical Low as of the 11pm, Thursday, September 21st advisory from the National Hurricane Center (NHC):
Latest track guidance from NHC continues to show slow and erratic movement of Jose over the next several days with a continued weakening trend. While the storm is now considered post-tropical, it is still likely to produce some tropical storm force wind gusts into parts of New England with more showery weather expected there as well. For the remainder of the East Coast, heavy surf and dangerous rip currents will continue to be a concern for days to come.
Stay up to date with the latest by checking in for the latest online, on the app, and on TV on NBC12. Our FIRST ALERT Weather Team will post updates as they come in from NHC.