The race is not over yet.
With just a little more than a month to go and all three presidential and one vice presidential debates still ahead of us, a new poll conducted by Suffolk University shows the race for the White House and U.S. Senate remains a virtual tie.
Several swing state polls show President Barack Obama begining to open up a sizeable lead, but here in Virginia it is still too close to call:
The poll of 600 likely voters was conducted between September 24-26th. Enough time for the full impact of the covert 47% video to have the opportunity to have an impact on people's decision. Despite the beating Mitt Romney has taken over the video, his standing in Virginia remains unchanged.
The poll has a 4% margin of error, meaning that the numbers are basically a tie.
And while the race for president is "basically" a tie, the U.S. Senate race actually is a tie:
A few recent polls showed the potential for Tim Kaine to perhaps pull ahead in this race, but our survey shows that he and George Allen remain locked in a razor thin battle. While the polls shows that most Virginians know both Allen and Kaine, there is still an astounding 12% of voters who have yet to make up their mind. Only 7% of respondents to the survey said they were undecided about the race for president.
You can see the full poll on Suffolk University's web site.
Here is pollster David Paleologos putting the numbers into perspective:
Here is my story on the poll for NBC12:
We are getting a better idea of just how close the race for president is in the Commonwealth of Virginia.
NBC12 partnered with Suffolk University to conduct a poll on the election.
Most swing state polls show President Barack Obama opening up a sizable lead, but here in Virginia the race is a virtual tie. In Ohio, Florida and Colorado polls show President Obama taking control. But a new Suffolk University/ NBC12 poll shows that is not the case in Virginia.
In our poll President Obama is holding on to a slim 2 point lead. Roughly 7% of Virginia voters are still undecided and pollster David Paleologos believes the president still has work to do.
"I can tell you with a high degree of confidence this is a close race, this is not a landslide for Barack Obama," he said.
But the news for Mitt Romney is not all good.
Votes still like President Obama more than they do the republican nominee. More than 52% view Obama favorably, while only 42% feel that way about Romney. More voters have a negative opinion of Romney than a positive one.
According to Paleogolos, being liked has never been the president's problem.
“People are saying they like Barack Obama more than Mitt Romney,” he explained.
It is Obama’s work as president that some aren't comfortable with. In fact 48% of the respondents in this poll disapprove of the way obama is doing his job. Only 46% believe he is doing a good job.
Things are even tighter in the race for U.S. Senate.
Our numbers show Tim Kaine and George Allen locked at 44% each.
The favorability numbers for the two former governors is roughly the same, both in the 40% range.
Palegolos believes both races could come down to turnout.
“Anybody can win this state, and there is not going to be a landslide win in either race,” he said. “Either the U.S. Senate race or the Presidential race.”
read and see the full story on NBC12.com
After the jump you can read the full press release from Suffolk University after the jump: